Jonathan’s 2015 win a must for Igbo's political correctness

Jonathan’s 2015 win a must for Igbo’s political correctness.

Preponderance of political equation shows that Igbo support and Jonathan’s 2015 win would be the most prudent, most viable political investment and reward the Igbo nation must embark on given the current, past and present political equation in Nigeria. The gang-up against Igbo presidency could be expressed mathematically as North + South West (+ or-) South South = Igbo defeat and politically, as Igbo subjugation; and psychologically as fear and mistrust of Igbos and anti-socially, as envy or hate of the Igbo. Simply put, the subsisting level of fear of the Igbo and Igbo hate in Nigeria especially by the North; and envy by the South West; and envy and hate by some in the South South make it practically impossible for an Igbo to win the presidency in 2015. For Igbo presidency, Igbos must at present accomplish at least one of two set of things.
1. Reassure the North and get them belief that there is nothing to fears about Igbo presidency. Igbos must make the North belief that Biafra war is over, all animosities buried. As for the South west Igbos must demonstrate to the Yorubas and assure them that under Igbo leadership there would not be a-run-on lands and properties by Igbo in the South west. Igbos must reassure the Yorubas that Igbo presidency will neither meddle nor challenge Yoruba ego and superiority complex over Igbo. Igbos may yield to pre-negotiated federal political appointments with the Yorubas for their support. As for the support of South South, Igbo must invest heavily in the current South South South East economic and political cooperation. But above all, Igbos must show humbleness, Will, consistency and determination to govern. These political appeasements by Igbo to other political zones cannot be accomplished between now and 2015 presidential vote.
2. And or, Igbos must through the proposed National Conference see to the restructure of Nigeria; a change in the system of government, a brand new constitution and or a-six-zone rotational presidency. Again the National Conference when held will be too close to 2015 presidential election for an Igbo to emerge president.
So, unless a miracle personally delivered by the Creator itself happens, it is virtually impossible for an Igbo to emerge president in 2015. If Jonathan did not emerge, the odd favors Sambo or any other Hausa/Fulani or the president of the Senate or the speaker of the Houses to emerge as the president in2015. And none of the above persons is Igbo. As for possible Igbo presidency the best Igbo could do between now and 2015 general election is to support that Presidential candidate that would help Igbo accomplish either one or the two set of things above, that would realistically guaranty Igbo presidency in 2028, which is 14 years from now. Now, some Igbo political hackers may mob me by my suggesting that Igbos must wait till 2028 to occupy the office of the presidency. And yes, I apologize for the hurtful truth, but my position is realistic and informed by political reality and by the bad Igbo fate in Nigeria, the fate of a hated but blessed people. And unless one or both sets of things above for the Igbo presidency happen, an Igbo would not be president on, before or even after 2028.
In 2015, Igbo’s best political bet is to support Jonathan and here are the reasons.
1. Jonathan have proven that he neither discriminate nor hate nor envy nor fears Igbos and this is self-evident in the high profile Igbo appointments in his administrations. One may rightly argue that it was Igbo who gave Jonathan solid support in his ascension to acting presidency and in 2011 presidential vote. But I would impugn that in as much as these Igbo supports were crucial, important and decisive and commendable they also carried political baggage for Jonathan’s presidency and not because of anything the Igbos did wrong but because of bad Igbo fate in Nigeria. The strong opposition to Jonathan’s presidency, from the North and by many from the West is informed by two things; the North’s strong belief that Jonathan cheated it out of the presidency and the North, South West disdain to Jonathan’s high profile  appointments of Igbos into sensitive positions like, COAS, Finance, Power, Petroleum, Aviation, and Chairmanship of National Population commission
Though Princess Oduah exhibited spending indiscretion in the armored vehicles purchase but the great lamentations and clamor for her sack from the North and especially from the South West are but all too common opportunistic Igbo witch-hunt, fear, hate, and envy that have subsisted since the days of Sadunna of Sokoto and Chief Akintola of South West. The great lamentations that sought the sack of Odimegwu, the Chairman of National Population commission are pure manifestations of fears and mistrust of the Igbo by the North. None of the Yoruba men, none of the Edo men, none of the Northerners most closely and likely to occupy the presidency today or before 2028 is interested in Igbo presidency. No wonder both North and the South West have the least taste for rotational presidency among the six geo-political zones. Nonetheless, the North and South West are interested in the Hausa/Fulani Yoruba rotations of the presidential position. But based on his Igbo appointments Jonathan without doubt would want to see an Igbo president, ASAP.
2. Jonathan’s Igbo political hobnob is not just mere political but also ‘genetical’. Is being reported that he has Igbo maternal linage. Besides, and irrespective of the civil war mistrust, it is no doubt that the cultural and geographical affinity between the ethnic minorities south of South East and the Igbo is unity, one, when compared to that between Igbo and Yoruba or Hausa/Fulani or Edo.
3. Igbos for their support for Jonathan can bargain and secure a guaranteed Igbo presidency come 2028 through temporal rotational PDP presidential arrangement. Igbos can urge Jonathan to now enter the much talked about Northerner agreement with the North, for the benefit of Igbo presidency. With his incumbency, political capital and as leaders of PDP, Jonathan can now on behalf of Igbo enter the Northern Agreement he has been accused of dishonoring. He can negotiate with the North and seek a written agreement for Igbo presidency in 2028 in exchange for his guaranteed handover to one of their own in 2019. Here, this agreement would assume the inevitable demise of the formidable opposition parties.
4. APC Igbo candidacy; some have suggested that APC field Igbo presidential candidate just to guarantee Jonathan and PDP defeat in the South East. The proponents of this Igbo APC presidential candidacy are but about one sixth, 17% right. APC presidential candidate of Igbo extraction may defeat Jonathan in South East if Igbos fail to foresee the wastefulness of such Igbo votes to APC’s Igbo presidential candidacy. But I would bet my very being that APC Igbo candidate would not only lose but will lose embarrassingly. Why, because of the bad Igbo fate in Nigerian. Jonathan would obtain 98% of the northern vote against such Igbo candidate. Also the Hausa/Fulani that decamped to APC would not only vote PDP but would mobile the masses to vote for Jonathan not because of their like for him but because of their paranoia about the Ebos.
So Igbo support for Jonathan is by all means proper and a politically correct step because there exist politically, no better alternative to their support for Jonathan’s 2015 bid. Igbo must make the necessary political sacrifices by supporting Jonathan in 2015 but in return they should urge Jonathan to ensure a written agreement among the 6 zones; agreement on rotational presidency that would guaranty Igbo presidency on or before 2028. To effect this agreement Jonathan needs Igbo help, Igbo sacrifices, so that preponderance of victory may lean on his side. Jonathan needs guaranteed and unwavering Igbo support come 2015 in exchange for Igbo presidency on or before 2028.
I see the sack of Ihejirika, Odimegwu, Nnaji and now Princess Oduah as demanded by some elements in the North and in the South West as some of the sacrifices Igbos need make for Jonathan’s 2015 victory which if harnessed will in turn secure negotiated Igbo presidency on or before 2028.